Saturday, October 4, 2025

iacta alea est

By William Schryver - October 04, 2025 at 11:19AM

As I have long dreaded, it appears the weight of the #EmpireAtAllCosts cult is bearing sway.

They have both hands on one side of the tiller.

On the other side is Team Peace Prize, patting each other on the back with one hand, and eating a cheeseburger with the other.

Not that there is even a choice at this juncture on the question of: War or Not War?

When you are an enfeebled former superpower teetering on the brink of international and domestic collapse, war inevitably becomes the only mirage your hubris can envision.

Here are some of the salient considerations:

The fate of the global dollar system and its great towers of imaginary collateral hang in the balance. And those towers will not fall neatly into their own footprint. The collateral damage will be unprecedented.

The Sino-Russian Dragonbear alliance has solidified the foundations of the rapidly emerging multipolar reorganization of world power.

While the perpetual fence-straddlers in India and Turkey (and other lesser Asian powers) dance the vacillation jig they know so well, the formidable rising powers in North Korea and Iran have cast their lot where they must in order to survive.

This then is the order of battle.

The only question is WHO, WHERE, and WHEN.

Many in the US power structure concur with the British and the withering empty shell of western Europe: the Russians are the enemy that must be destroyed first, and then chopped into pieces for the “civilized world” to consume at its leisure.

Others remain convinced the Chinese are, far and away, the greatest threat to American hegemony and the “rules-based international order”. Sina delenda est!

Yet others, the advocates of “Greater Israel” among them, are determined to make Iran the chosen war, the prize of which would be dominant control over Persian Gulf energy production and exports.

There is a cold, hard logic to the latter option, because if Iran can be neutralized as the third-leg in the Eurasian trade and currency bloc, Chinese access to Persian Gulf energy can be severed, along with Russian access to the Indian Ocean via the International North-South Transit Corridor.

Yes, Trump is talking tough about deposing Nicolás Maduro, and installing a puppet government in Venezuela that will do Washington’s bidding in relation to their massive untapped oil reserves. The US Navy has sent to the region a modest fleet consisting of an Amphibious Ready Group and a few destroyers in order to menace the Bolivarian Republic into submission. But, although it is almost certain the US Department of War will attempt some sort of decapitation strike in the form of stand-off missiles, I assess zero possibility that they will attempt to land a couple brigades of lightly armed Marines to march on Caracas.

Most people don’t realize Venezuela is 50% larger than Ukraine (which, ex-Russia, is the largest country in Europe), and poses extremely difficult geographic and logistical challenges for an invading army. It would turn into a quagmire as intractable as Vietnam.

And besides, invading and conquering Venezuela doesn’t win anything of real importance for the United States. It would certainly do nothing to arrest the rapid decline of American global hegemony. And it would effectively cede Eurasia to the Russia, China, Iran bloc.

As for Russia and China, it’s sheer madness for the United States to take on either one in a war. It’s ridiculous to even consider. The American military would be, over the course of just a few weeks, subjected to the most shocking defeat in its history – as I have written about on many occasions over the past few years.

So that leaves Iran as the only objective under serious consideration.

The hopelessly propagandized American public and almost all of its imbecilic political leaders believe the supposedly mighty US/Israeli air forces humiliated Iran with an overwhelming series of unstoppable air strikes. They believe Iran has been rendered effectively defenseless, and that neither Moscow nor Beijing nor Pyongyang would dare to undertake any moves to aid Tehran against the combined power of the US and Israel.

I’m sure they’re mistaken, but no one is going to appreciate the scope and depth of the deception until it’s too late to turn back.

So that’s where we stand here in the first week of October 2025 – on the brink of a war that will, once and for all, expose how utterly mythological American military supremacy truly is.

The power is pretended
The summer is past
The harvest is ended
And the die is cast

Reprinted with permission from imetatronink.
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